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Cynicism and Capitulation on September 29, 2008

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Never have I observed such a dispirit mass of views, political dysfunction, and public confusion. Dispirit views can be expected whenever discussion ocurrs, but political dysfunction is not what a democracy needs. Public confusion erupts because there is a lack of government leadership and public knowledge. When a crisis arrives, no one can decide on what works, and no one leads. All parties appear to play the zero-sum game: give me all I want and I’ll give you nothing of what you want, or I’ll give up something as long as you know there’s hell-to-pay.

Most people get their stock market updates from the evening news. The excitement on the way up with the gloom and doom during a market correction. Very few get much of an education. Duncan Niederauer, CEO of the New York Stock Exchange recognized this by statiing that many voters fail to understand the inextricable link between “Main Street and Wall Street”.

American voters think this is a “bailout of Wall Street”. What we face is a “credit-crisis”. Small businesses faces payroll challenges, the U.S. auto industry has no wheels, and the housing industry has no foundation. As Secretary Paulson said, “…this is much too important to let this fail,” Paulson said.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said, “Why should taxpayers loan out their own money to solve a crisis brought on by someone else’s greed?” He answered his own question by saying, “…in our economy, none of us is an island. A meltdown would begin…on a few square miles of Manhattan, but before it was over…no city or town in America would be untouched.”

Mutual fund, 401(k), endowment fund, and pension investors can blame Wall Street “fat cats”, but we all chased the mice. We all gloated and took pride in the numbers on our statements. “No city or town in America” ran from the market upside, but everyone wants to blame someone on the downside.

The greater the excess or hubris, the greater the humiliation. The greater the cynicism, the greater the deliberative dysfunction when seeking a resolution. The greater the market avarice on both sides of a trade (long by owning stock and selling or shorting a stock)the worse the results for everyday, steady-hearted investors.

We can only hope that time and sensibility return our sanity. We can only hope that the stock market becomes a thermometer of economic growth, research and development, entrepreneural innovation, and a cooperative effort to keep this planet revolving for our kids.

Watching the Stock Market

Friday, June 27th, 2008

Just turned-off Bloomberg Television (the only reason for a TV in my office). When watching the stock market, I go from Bloomberg Television to the Fox Business Channel (some former Bloomberg talking heads must have received attractive offers from the Fox Business Channel) when watching the stock market. Turning-off the TV brings a wave of quiet and rest to my head. Too many opinions along with a depressed stock market paralyzes my work (months ago, the TV was turned-off because of too much stock market euphoria).

Sometimes I open Firefox to Google “stock market news”. I look for positive information. Something encouraging and hopeful to counterpoint my disappointment in recent Fed action (or inaction), the price of oil per-barrel, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - MCSI, and today’s Dow Jones Industrial Average slippage to a 20% bear stock market drop.

Have I found positive, happy, sanguine news? Not really. I have found hints of optimism based on specific indicators. Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) is a favorite stock market source of information. IBD tracks the EKG (stock trading patterns), relative strength, earnings-per-share, industry rank with a lot of other data.

At Investors.com, IBD offers a stock market video reviewing the previous day’s stock market close. Anyone may listen, but the video changes daily. Ken Shreve’s stock market commentary provides helpful insights that may soothe you while watching stock market trades.

You will find Mr. Shreve’s stock market perceptions helpful. I do. Look for the “Daily Stock Analysis” at Investors.com. Remember, this is Mr. Shreve’s comment for one day. To understand stock market trends, you’ll have to listen daily. Also, my mentioning this resource is not a recommendation. You may not find IBD’s comments helpful or suitable to your investment goals. At worst, you may find his commentary and charts entertaining.

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